Thursday, July 12, 2012

TdF Stage 12 Preview

Another one for the mountain goats, but a bit easier than today's stage with just two first category climbs in the first half of the race, a long descending section, and a final third category climb before an uphill finish. This is the kind of stage where anything could happen. An early attack can survive to the end, as in the last two days; but there's more of a chance that a big group could chase down an early breakaway before the Cote d'Ardoix. I believe the stage winner will be determined on that final climb, rather than on one of the early first category Cols. In fact, if Peter Sagan can drag himself over those two Cols within striking distance, I would look for him to (1) go for the sprint points at Marcilloles and (2) carry his impetus to steal a march on the Cote. Aside from Sagan, look for Tommy Voeckler and Jens to come out to play tomorrow after taking it (relatively) easy today. (P.S. Is anyone having more fun in this Tour than Jens?)

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